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2019 ASCO Annual Meeting!

Session: Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic

Type: Poster Session

Time: Sunday June 2, 8:00 AM to 11:00 AM

Location: Hall A

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) case study examining whether results in a randomized control arm are replicated by a synthetic control arm (SCA).

Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic

2019 ASCO Annual Meeting

Abstract No:

Poster Board Number:
Poster Session (Board #431)

J Clin Oncol 37, 2019 (suppl; abstr 9108)

Author(s): Ruthie Davi, Mark Chandler, Barbara Elashoff, Andrea Stern Ferris, Andrew Howland, David Lee, Antara Majumdar, Mark Stewart, Larry Strianese, Elizabeth Stuart, Xiang Yin, Antoine Yver; Medidata Solutions, New York, NY; Medidata Solutions, Inc., New York, NY; LUNGevity Foundation, Potomac, MD; Friends of Cancer Research, Washington, DC; Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; Daiichi Sankyo, Inc., Basking Ridge, NJ

Abstract Disclosures


Background: The FDA’s accelerated approval (AA) pathway provides conditional approval for an investigational product (IP) after positive effect on a surrogate endpoint has been provided, allowing patients earlier access to the therapy. Confirmation of a positive effect on the clinical endpoint after conditional approval is required and usually includes a randomized trial. However, such a trial is challenged by availability of the IP outside the trial. Recruitment becomes more difficult, and patients assigned to control are more likely to drop-out and use the non-assigned IP, which may bias the observed treatment effect. In AA settings we propose a SCA composed of patient level data from previous clinical trials to augment or replace the randomized control. Validity of this approach in one case study is assessed by examining if a SCA can replicate the outcomes of a target randomized control (TRC) from a recent NSCLC trial. Methods: The patients for the NSCLC SCA were required to have satisfied the key eligibility criteria of the target trial and were further selected using a propensity score-based approach to balance the baseline characteristics in the SCA and TRC. All patient selections were made without knowledge of patient outcomes. Results: The results show comparable balance in observed baseline characteristics of the SCA and TRC was achieved. Overall survival (OS) in TRC was replicated by SCA. The Kaplan Meier curves for OS in the SCA and TRC visually overlap. In addition, the log rank test (p = 0.65) and hazard ratio of 1.04 (95% CI: (0.88, 1.23)) were not statistically significant. Conclusions: If the SCA had been in place of the randomized control in this study, conclusions about the treatment effect would have been the same. While this may not hold when it is not possible to balance the groups on all confounders, this suggests that in some settings, SCA could augment or replace the randomized control in future trials easing recruitment, retention, and crossover challenges without compromising the understanding of the treatment effect. Future work should examine in what settings SCA is appropriate and consider the implications of potential unobserved confounders.

Other Abstracts in this Sub-Category:


1. Association of STK11/LKB1 genomic alterations with lack of benefit from the addition of pembrolizumab to platinum doublet chemotherapy in non-squamous non-small cell lung cancer.

Meeting: 2019 ASCO Annual Meeting Abstract No: 102 First Author: Ferdinandos Skoulidis
Category: Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic - Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer


2. Real-world outcomes of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) and autoimmune disease (AD) receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

Meeting: 2019 ASCO Annual Meeting Abstract No: 110 First Author: Sean Khozin
Category: Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic - Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer


3. RELAY: A multinational, double-blind, randomized Phase 3 study of erlotinib (ERL) in combination with ramucirumab (RAM) or placebo (PL) in previously untreated patients with epidermal growth factor receptor mutation-positive (EGFRm) metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Meeting: 2019 ASCO Annual Meeting Abstract No: 9000 First Author: Kazuhiko Nakagawa
Category: Lung Cancer—Non-Small Cell Metastatic - Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer